Ranger Suarez takes to the mound for the Philadelphia Phillies as they visit the Detroit Tigers. It's time to continue our MLB odds series with a Phillies-Tigers prediction and pick.
Phillies-Tigers Projected Starters
Spencer Turnball vs.Jack Flaherty
Spencer Turnball (3-0) with a 2.63 ERA ERA and a 1.05 WHIP.
Last Start: Turnball has not made a start since April 20th, but has been in games since then. Last time out, Turnball went three innings in relief, giving up just two hits and one walk.
2024 Road Splits: Turnball has appeared in eight games on the road, with three starts. Turnball has a 2.70 ERA and a .198 opponent batting average in those games.
Jack Flaherty (5-4) with a 2.92 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP
Last Start: Flaherty was solid last time out. He went 5.2 innings, giving up five hits, and just one run, on a solo home run. This would get Flaherty his fourth straight win.
2024 Home Splits: Flaherty has made six starts at home this year. He is 1-3 with a 3.82 ERA and a .252 opponent batting average.
Here are the MLBOdds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Phillies-Tigers Odds
Philadelphia Phillies: -1.5 (-114)
Moneyline: -176
Detroit Tigers: +1.5 (-105)
Moneyline: +148
Over: 9 (-115)
Under: 9 (-105)
How to Watch Phillies vs. Tigers
Time: 1:10 PM ET/ 10:10 AM PT
TV: NBCSP/BSDET
Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)
Why The Phillies Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Phillies are fourth in the majors in runs scored, while sitting third in batting average, second in on-base percentage, and fourth in slugging. Alec Bohm is driving in a ton of runs this year. He is hitting .313 on the year, with 28 doubles and nine home runs. Bohm has 64 RBIs and 37 runs scored. Meanwhile, Bryce Harper continues to slug well. He is hitting .303 on the year with a .401 on-base percentage. He has 19 home runs and 56 RBIs while scoring 51 times. Leading the team in runs scored is Kyle Schwarber. He is hitting .249 on the year with 17 home runs and 49 RBIs. Schwarber also leads the team with 59 runs scored this year.
In the last week, Nick Castellanos has been on fire. He is hitting .435 in the last week with two home runs and eight RBIs. He has also scored three times. The hottest bat in the lineup might be Bryce Harper. He is hitting .500 with a .519 on-base percentage. He has four home runs, four doubles, ten RBIs, and nine runs scored in the last week. Rounding out the top bats in the last week is Alec Bohm. Bohm is hitting .375 in the last week with two home runs, four RBIs and five runs scored.
Current members of the Phillies have 65 career at-bats against Jack Flaherty. They are hitting just .169 against him but with a .289 on-base percentage. Kyle Schwarber has the most experience. He is just two for 23 with a home run and five walks. Nick Castellanos has been solid against Flaherty, with five hits in 13 at-bats and a home run.
Why The Tigers Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Tigers are 20th in the majors in runs scored while sitting 23rd in batting average, 26th in on-base percentage, and 20th in slugging. Riley Greene has led the way this year. He is hitting .261 on the year with a .355 on-base percentage. He has 15 doubles and 15 home runs, leading to 40 RBIs on the year. Greene also has 50 runs scored. Meanwhile, Matt Vierling is also hitting well this year. He is hitting .254 on the year with nine doubles and nine home runs. He has 30 RBIs and 33 runs scored as well. Rounding out the top bats is Mark Canha. He is hitting .244 on the year with a .353 on-base percentage. Canha has just six home runs, but 30 RBIs and 35 runs scored.
Riley Greene also comes into this game hot. He is hitting .350 in the last week with a triple and a home run. He has three RBIs in the last six games and two runs scored. Colt Keith is also hot. He has hit .348 in the last week with a .400 on-base percentage. He has a home run and three RBIs while scoring three times this year.
Final Phillies-Tigers Prediction & Pick
Spencer Turnball is in his first year with the Phillies, after being a starting pitcher for the Detroit Tigers since 2018. He has not gone deep into games this year and has done a lot of work in relief. That has worked well for him though. Turnball struggled in 2023 after missing all of 2022. Turnball has rebounded nicely since then making shorter appearances. With how well the Phillies are hitting, combined with Turnball giving solid innings, take the Phillies to win.
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Final Phillies-Tigers Prediction & Pick: Phillies ML (-176)
